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  • An Introduction to Models in the Social Sciences

    What is a model? How do you construct one? What are some common models in the social sciences? How can models be applied in new situations? What makes a model good? Focusing on answers to these and related questions, this multidisciplinary introduction to model building in the social sciences formulates interesting problems that involve students in creative model building and the process of ... Leer más

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  • Fooled by Randomness

    The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

    Series Libro 1 - Incerto
    Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will ... Leer más

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  • The Model Thinker

    What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You

    de Scott E. Page ...
    Work with data like a pro using this guide that breaks down how to organize, apply, and most importantly, understand what you are analyzing in order to become a true data ninja.From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, ... Leer más

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  • The Complete Idiot's Guide to Game Theory

    The Fascinating Math Behind Decision-Making

    Gain some insight into the game of life...Game Theory means rigorous strategic thinking. It is based on the idea that everyone acts competitively and in his own best interest. With the help of mathematical models, it is possible to anticipate the actions of others in nearly all life's enterprises. This book includes down-to-earth examples and solutions, as well as charts and illustrations designed ... Leer más

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  • Micromotives and Macrobehavior

    Before Freakonomics and The Tipping Point there was this classic by the 2005 Nobel Laureate in Economics."Schelling here offers an early analysis of 'tipping' in social situations involving a large number of individuals."—official citation for the 2005 Nobel PrizeMicromotives and Macrobehavior was originally published over twenty-five years ago, yet the stories it tells feel just as fresh today. ... Leer más

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  • The Difference

    How the Power of Diversity Creates Better Groups, Firms, Schools, and Societies (New Edition)

    de Scott E. Page ...
    In this landmark book, Scott Page redefines the way we understand ourselves in relation to one another. The Difference is about how we think in groups--and how our collective wisdom exceeds the sum of its parts. Why can teams of people find better solutions than brilliant individuals working alone? And why are the best group decisions and predictions those that draw upon the very qualities that ... Leer más

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  • The New Paradigm for Financial Markets

    The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What It Means

    de George Soros ...
    In the midst of the most serious financial upheaval since the Great Depression, legendary financier George Soros explores the origins of the crisis and its implications for the future. Soros, whose breadth of experience in financial markets is unrivaled, places the current crisis in the context of decades of study of how individuals and institutions handle the boom and bust cycles that now ... Leer más

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  • The Soros Lectures

    At the Central European University

    de George Soros ...
    Five lectures George Soros recently delivered at the Central European University in Budapest - which he founded in 1991 - distill a lifetime of thinking on finance, capitalism and open society In a series of lectures delivered at the Central European University in October 2009, George Soros provided a broad overview of his thoughts on economics and politics. The lectures are the culmination of a ... Leer más

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  • The End of Theory

    Financial Crises, the Failure of Economics, and the Sweep of Human Interaction

    An in-depth look at how to account for the human complexities at the heart of today's financial systemOur economy may have recovered from the Great Recession—but not our economics. In The End of Theory, Richard Bookstaber discusses why the human condition and the radical uncertainty of our world renders the standard economic model—and the theory behind it—useless for dealing with financial crises. ... Leer más

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  • Statistics

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    " Our objective in this book is to present an exposition of basic principles of statistics along with some indication of applications which satisfies the following ten commandments: The focus should be placed on a clear development of basic ideas and principles. The exposition of these basic ideas and principles should be streamlined so as to avoid having the undergrowth get in the way of the ... Leer más

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  • Escape from Model Land

    How Mathematical Models Can Lead Us Astray and What We Can Do About It

    Why mathematical models are so often wrong, and how we can make better decisions by accepting their limitsWhether we are worried about the spread of COVID-19 or making a corporate budget, we depend on mathematical models to help us understand the world around us every day. But models aren’t a mirror of reality. In fact, they are fantasies, where everything works out perfectly, every time. And ... Leer más

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  • The Socionomc Theory of Finance

    Series Libro 3 - Socionomics — The Science of History and Social Prediction
    World-changing books about finance aren't built in a day. Adam Smith needed 17 years to write The Wealth of Nations. John Maynard Keynes took six years to write The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Yes, those are lofty comparisons. And yes, later histories will record whether the socionomic theory of finance actually did replace conventional macroeconomics. Even so: You can read ... Leer más

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